Fantasy Football: DraftKings Week 7

October 24, 2015 - 12:43 pm
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Welcome to Week 7! It's shaping up like a week that will feature a lot of scoring, though I am a bit skeptical about the scoring Vegas sees in the Patriots-Jets game. The over/under (as of midday Saturday) is 48.5 points, but I smell an potentially ugly divisional contest. There is a lopsided scenario for New England, but those who are assuming such a thing could come away disappointed. One reason for this is that the Patriots defense most likely would lead the way in that scenario because it will involve a Ryan Fitzpatrick implosion. While I do expect a Patriots win, I do not see Brady and company pushing the Jets defense around the way they have in most of their games so far. For this reason, I am avoiding Brady's sky high $8,500 price tag. As I said, this is shaping up like a high-scoring week, and that means you will need to take some chances and aim really high with tournament lineups. Conservative lineups that come in around 180 points may not be worth much at all this week. If you haven't yet, please join Jim Hackett and me Sunday morning for The Fantasy Football Hour at 8 a.m. on 93.7. We'll be covering Week 7 injuries, some lineup advice and plenty of DraftKings, too! BIG-MONEY OPTIONS ($7,000 and up) Julio Jones, Falcons at Titans, $9,100 He's not as good a play as the next guy on the list because of the absurd cost. That said, I have already fit both Jones and DeAndre Hopkins into a few lineups by saving big in other areas, so I am listing him here. Jones gives you that crazy-high ceiling that you will need this week. You need to work hard to put a good lineup around him, but it's worth trying. DeAndre Hopkins, Texans at Dolphins, $8,600 Yeah, that's a lot of cheddar ... but Hopkins is the reason I will be saving money at other positions this week. There's nobody out there more likely to have a big game than Hopkins. The guy has been outstanding with defenses leaning on him and without a good quarterback on his team. I'm sticking with Hopkins until he lets me down. Devonta Freeman, Falcons at Titans, $7,900 Finally. It's about time they gave Freeman some respect with their pricing. He's no bargain. That said, he's one of the guys who is worth the big money, so he gets a spot up top and he'll be in a few of my lineups. Julio Jones is looking healthy this week, and that makes Freeman even more dangerous. Andrew Luck, Colts vs. Saints, $7,600 If I am spending big money on a quarterback this week, Luck's the guy I am buying. He's not near the same cost ceiling as Brady is and he has a great home matchup. And his team won't opt to wear out its aging backfield with a lead, so Luck should be a threat to throw the entire game. It's also quite possible that the Saints score plenty of points themselves. In short, the expected game script is pretty favorable. All of Luck's weapons are healthy and ready to go. MID-LEVEL OPTIONS ($4,000-$6,900) Carson Palmer, Cardinals vs. Ravens, $6,700 He's home, and he should have a full complement of weapons. Though there is some doubt about John Brown's (hamstring) status. It's a good matchup, and Palmer gives you big upside without spending a premium. He's a smart play at QB in all contests this week. T.Y. Hilton, Colts vs. Saints, $6,500 I love this one. Hilton gives you a huge ceiling and he only costs you 6,500 units. He's been relatively quiet, but he looks healthy and now he is back with his real quarterback. He's also playing in a game that should feature tons of scoring. Big thumbs up in all types of contests. Blake Bortles, Jaguars vs. Bills, $5,400 It's the London game, so don't let the early start throw you. There's no home-field advantage, but I like Bortles as a tournament play at this price. He is not safe and will be avoided by many due to the matchup. If you are looking for a nice cheap differentiation play at QB, Bortles is a good option. Donte Moncrief, Colts vs. Saints, $5,200 He still hasn't had a true breakout game, and he has that potential. It would be nice to have him rostered at 5,200 units when it happens. This is a game that gives you that potential. If I roster Andrew Luck, I am most certainly stacking him with Moncrief or T.Y. Hilton. Teddy Bridgewater, Vikings at Lions, $5,100 I like this one even more than Bortles because Bridgewater is slowly turning the corner and is not likely to be highly owned. His cost is so low that you can get a few studs into your lineup without having to skimp anywhere. Basically, if Bridgewater has a big game, you have a great chance at a really high score. It's risky, but if you don't take risks in tournament play, you really can't win big. Todd Gurley, Rams vs. Browns, $5,000 He's the new Freeman. No way should he be this cheap after the way he's run the last few games. He's home in a game that could feature a run-heavy second half unless the Browns find a way to score points. No matter, because there aren't many game scripts you can come up with that will make Gurley a bad buy at 5,000 units. Fire him up in all contests. Frank Gore, Colts vs. Saints, $4,900 With Luck back, Gore could easily end up having his best game of the season. He should get some goal-line looks, and he should make the most of his 15-20 touches. He's a bargain at 4,900 units, and I will find a way to get him in some lineups. Martavis Bryant, Steelers at Chiefs, $4,700 People will shy away from him because Landry Jones is starting. I get that, but don't forget about Jones' strengths and the fact that he played pretty well last week. Bryant has multi-score upside and you can get him at a very friendly price. I'll have him active in a few tourneys. Stefon Diggs, Vikings at Lions, $4,200 There's some risk here, but if I am starting Teddy Bridgewater, I am stacking him with Diggs and hoping for a nice inexpensive point explosion. If you hit on it, you are in the game in a big way because you'll have them surrounded with big upside guys. The Teddy/Diggs stack only costs 9,200 units. I'm going to give that a shot this weekend. BARGAIN BASEMENT (below $4,000) David Johnson, Cardinals vs. Ravens, $3,500 It's risky, but you are looking for upside in tournaments and Johnson has it. He gets some goal-line carries and he can score on special teams as we already have seen. Johnson also is the best receiver out of the backfield, though Andre Ellington also is outstanding. What you are playing for here is the blowout. If you think the Ravens can stay close, then you probably should avoid this one. If you think Arizona is leading in the second half, then it's a good play. Johnson is a guy the Cardinals will use a lot with a big lead because they want to get him experience. Matt Jones, Washington vs. Buccaneers, $3,200 Jones is ticketed to be the passing down back this week and this makes him very dangerous in full PPR scoring, and that's what we have on DraftKings. At 3,200 units, he gives you crazy upside if game flow ends up working for you. If Jameis Winston has a bad day, there could be some goal-line chances for Washington. I will have a few lineups in tournament play that feature Jones as a high-upside money-saving option. Michael Floyd, Cardinals vs. Ravens, $3,200 He scored last week, and his targets have reached the level where he should be getting weekly consideration. Floyd is a player to own in seasonal and this week in DraftKings. I will be using him in all types of contests, but tournaments are best. Christine Michael, Cowboys at Giants, $3,000 It's the price. Michael may or may not be the back to own in Dallas, but he could give you a nice return in tournaments, and all you need is a few goal-line scores to get there. He's got 20-point upside at the price floor. Not a bad play for the risk-takers among us. The Giants have played the run pretty well, otherwise I'd be more fired up about Michael this week. He's for tournaments only. Too risky for 50/50 and head-to-head games. Ladarius Green, Chargers vs. Raiders, $2,900 Here's some Week 7 evolving value for you. Antonio Gates is a game-time decision with an MCL injury. Green is going to play a role this week, but he could play a major role if Gates sits out. Green already has three scores in 2015. He's a potential steal at 2,900 units, and he can help you fit more stud talent in your lineup at wide receiver. DraftKings DraftKings has your shot to play for FREE in the $1 Million Fantasy Football Contest THIS SUNDAY! First place takes home $100,000! FOR FREE ENTRY, CLICK HERE.

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