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Fantasy Football: Who to start/sit vs. Bills?

Pete Davidson
December 23, 2017 - 10:25 am


It’s a big week for those of you still alive in seasonal leagues. Good luck in those bowl games! As always, if you are looking for help setting your lineup, feel free to hit me up on Twitter for a second opinion. You can also consult my free lineup rankings over at rotobahn.com.

Below you will find some players I like in daily action. Most of them are obvious starts in seasonal leagues. And, as always, I get into some Patriots and how I am using them for DFS purposes.

For the freshest insights on all the Week 16 action, tune in to the Fantasy Football Hour, this Sunday morning right here on 93.7. Jim Hackett and I will take your questions (via text) and get you ready for Sunday. To keep pace with all of our fantasy football content, follow me on Twitter @Rotobahn. You can also follow Jim @RotobahnHacksaw.


Tom Brady, Patriots vs. Bills, $6,900

As I said last week, he’s not dead.  He just needs his teammates a little more than he did when he was younger.  This is a matchup where the Patriots could lean a little harder on the run—passing as much as they need to win.  I’m not playing a lot of Brady this week but I’ll dip my beak a little, as Jim Hackett likes to say.

Cam Newton, Panthers vs. Bucs, $6,800

He’s at the core of his offense—getting a hand in nearly everything save for the few carries given to Jonathan Stewart and Christian McCaffrey. The Panthers talked a good game during the offseason.  “We need to save Cam for the long term”.  Blah blah blah.  As soon as they really needed to win games, Cam is running around like his old self.  On a good day, he can score 20 points with his feet alone.  You never want to go fully away from him in GPPs.  He’s like the Gronk of quarterbacks.

Russell Wilson, Seahawks at Cowboys, $7,000

Wilson struggled last week with his team collapsing around him. The Rams had a lot to do with it, and I doubt the Cowboys will have the same kind of success defensively. Their personnel is simply not in the same class as the Rams. Seattle’s back is to the wall and Wilson will do what it takes. That means plenty of foot points. Dallas is also susceptible in coverage. We are looking for big ceilings in GPPs and we get that with Wilson. Like Newton, he should have a huge share of his team’s offensive numbers.


Dion Lewis, Patriots vs. Bills, $6,000

He’s getting a very steady diet of carries and he’s been used as a receiver more over the second half of the season. That usage should hold steady, at minimum, with Rex Burkhead out.  While Mike Gillislee could get his role back at the goal line, he’s not going to replace Burkhead’s receiving chops—that should fall to James White and Lewis. He’s a stronger play than normal this week, but I am not loading him into many DraftKings rosters due to his price tag. Maybe a few. Having said that, Dion is a solid RB2 for your seasonal league games.

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys, vs. Seahawks, $8,000

There are a lot of good plays this week, but Zeke at 8K is compelling. His team is lusting for his return and it’s a huge game. Elliott will be rested but not exactly rusty, because he's played plenty this year, and he knows the scheme so well. Seattle is not a pushover, but this is a nearly matchup-proof player when he’s at his best. I’m definitely getting some shares here. You don’t get discounted Zeke very often.

Alvin Kamara, Saints vs. Jets, $8,600

As Evan Silva has pointed out many times, and as the numbers bear out, Atlanta lets their athletic linebackers run down RBs after the catch. They challenge their defense to play reactionary football against the position to buttress their deep coverage. While it may be a reasonable way to approach things as a whole, it creates a lot of opportunity for running backs with good receiving skills, and Kamara is steeped in them. He’s also working with Drew Brees, who is among the best ever when it comes to integrating running backs into the passing game. I’m going to keep paying the price. Give me more Kamara.

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers vs. Bucs, $6,400

He’s a bargain in DK’s full PPR scoring format. This is a game the Panthers absolutely must have, and McCaffrey is the team’s biggest weapon outside of Cam Newton. He should catch five balls at his floor, but he’s capable of reaching double digits. He’s also been averaging over 44 yards rushing per game over the last six weeks—making him a true dual threat. The rookie has seven scores in his last ten games. He’s a legit PPR monster and he’s relatively affordable if you are trying to put a deep lineup together.  While Tampa is not a tremendous matchup for receiving running backs, they have given up more touchdowns (14) than any team other than Buffalo.

Kapri Bibbs, Washington vs. Broncos, $3,500

This is the Week 16 “keep your head on a swivel” play. Bibbs is potentially the only back in Washington this week. The key is the status of Samaje Perine, who tweaked a groin in Thursday’s practice. If he’s not active, Bibbs is a full time RB you can roster for a pittance. He’s also the guy to add if you were counting on playing Perine in a bowl game. The matchup is tough, so I’m less enthused if Perine is going to play. You need the volume to make Bibbs an attractive option. Pay attention to this situation.


Brandin Cooks, Patriots vs. Bills, $7,000

He’s always got some upside as we saw last week, but I’m not all that interested in paying the price for Cooks. The Bills handled him pretty well a few weeks back and the Patriots will spread the ball around. He’s a solid play in your championship games, but I’m looking elsewhere in daily leagues. I’d rather pay up at running back this week than pay this much for Cooks.

Stefon Diggs, Vikings at Packers, $6,400

I stick with certain players and Diggs is one of them. It’s not so much that I’m stubborn, which of course, I am.  It’s the price.  Diggs gives me as much ceiling as any receiver out there this week.  I also get a decent floor because of the great matchup.  Adam Thielen will be the more owned Vikings receiver, and he’s not a stupid play himself, but the money I save with Diggs costs me no ceiling, and it allows me to beef up at other roster spots.

Josh Gordon, Browns at Bears, $6,300

It’s the same principle as with Diggs.  Gordon is a few thousand off of the bigger names but he has similar upside.  People will run away because of his quarterback and his mediocre numbers, but this is a player who can have a great week in a few series. He’s worth some exposure at this price.

Chris Godwin, Bucs at Panthers, $3,000

If you need a cheap option to complete a super sweet lineup, this is a great player to go with. Godwin has been pretty good this season but he’s obviously been hindered by quarterback flux and a lot talent ahead him. This week, he’ll be a starter with DeSean Jackson out, and there will be extra targets due to O.J. Howard’s absence as well. Throw in a banged up Cameron Brate and you have some real possibilities here.


Rob Gronkowski, Patriots vs. Bills, $7,400

Gronk against the Bills is compelling theater for sure, and he’s obviously a strong play. I’m a little more into rostering the next guy on the list this week, but Gronk, as I have said numerous times, is always worth some shares.  Should we care that his numbers against the Bills are far better when the game is played in Buffalo?  I leave that for you to decide.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. Dolphins, $6,900

This is a fire versus paper matchup and Kelce is obviously the fire. The Dolphins have been getting torched by tight ends much of this season, and it’s tough to figure why this game would be any different. The Chiefs are in a must win position—with a one game lead over the Chargers and two games left to play.  Last week, Kelce faced off against a tough Chargers pass defense that limits tight ends very well, and, at the end of the day, his numbers showed it.  I expect his Week 16 numbers to be a reflection of Kelce’s awesomeness and the Dolphins’ ineptitude. All the arrows are pointing up.

Greg Olsen, Panthers vs. Bucs, $5,200

He played every singe offensive snap in Week 15, so you know he’s all the way back.  He also went off to the tune of 9 receptions for 116 yards and a score.  That’s the kind of production that gets my attention. He’s the best receiver on the team again, though McCaffrey is nipping at his heels. The Bucs are not a good matchup for tight ends, but Olsen gets used as a pure receiver at times, so he can defy the stats.  Don’t go overboard here, because there is some risk, but if I can’t fit Kelce into my lineup, Olsen is my next target.

Antonio Gates, Chargers at Jets, $2,500

He’s not going to win it for you, but he could allow you to really load up elsewhere. And, Gates will get you something.  The Jets are a good matchup and he’s got ridiculous rapport with Philip Rivers.  He’ll scrap you out some PPR points on that alone. He’s also a decent bet to score, and you have to think the Chargers will see plenty of red zone action against the Jets. And, the Jets will be keying on Melvin Gordon and Keenan Allen. Oh, did I mention he’s starting this week?  Hunter Henry is out with a lacerated kidney.  Gates should play almost all of the snaps. 

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